6 Oct

Banks 'show first recovery signs'

Banks 'show first recovery signs'

Financial firms may be recovering, with business volumes growing for the first time in two years, a survey has shown.

Business increased in three months to early September, said 7% of those surveyed by PricewaterhouseCoopers and business organisation the CBI. But building societies returned to feeling "downbeat" and business levels were weak in other areas, suggesting the recovery still has a way to go. "Future demand is still a major concern," said the researchers.

'Upswing'

On balance, 36% of financial services firms are more optimistic about the general business situation than in June.

"For the first time since June 2007, banks are experiencing an upswing in confidence," said Andrew Gray, head of financial services consulting at PricewaterhouseCoopers.
"Confidence is, in part, offset by concerns of further impairments and the impact of 'tougher' regulation." The UK's five largest banks recently accepted curbs on bonuses agreed by G20 leaders at the recent Pittsburgh summit, and stronger rules on overall banking are likely to follow.

Building societies

Building societies were feeling downbeat about their prospects, partly because of difficulties with funding. The survey found that profitability at building societies was "broadly flat" over the three months, with a resumption of declines expected in the current quarter. "Signs of stabilisation in the housing market, however, have provided some cause for 'cautious cheer'," the report said. But it added that almost all societies were cutting operating costs and staff.

'Happy' traders

Securities trading - behind much of the toxic waste that almost brought down the financial system last year - rose, driven by a record level of growth in dealings with financial institutions and "healthy" growth in business with overseas customers. "Securities traders are enjoying life again," said Pars Purewal, who looks after UK asset management at PricewaterhouseCoopers. "For the first time in the survey's 20-year history, all respondents are feeling optimistic about their business situation, a reflection of the rebound in equity markets." Mr Purewal said caution remained over the "threat of regulation" and whether demand would keep holding up.

Service sector

There was also upbeat news for the whole of the service sector on Monday from the purchasing managers' survey of the sector, which showed that it expanded at its fastest rate for two years in September. The figure for the sector rose to 55.3 in September from 54.1 in August, according to the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS). It was the fifth month in a row that the figure was above 50, which indicates expansion. 

BBC News. (2009). Banks 'show first recovery signs'. [Online]. Available from: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8289407.stm Accessed 6th October 2009.